Thursday, November 17, 2011

Thoughts After 3 Games

The first thought that comes to mind....I heart Cody Zeller.  This kid appears to be as good as advertised and makes this team better in so many ways.  The best news of all....he's only going to get better.  He notched a double-double in his debut, marking the 3rd time in 4 years that an IU player has had a double-double in their college debut (Pritchard, Watford).  I don't think I'd be going out on a limb to say that Cody will have many more than Pritchard and Watford combined when it is all said and done.  My vision for Cody is to stay all 4 years, stay healthy, re-write the record books, 2 Big Ten titles, and a 6th banner.  Sure, that's asking a lot, but the key point is that it isn't out of the realm of possibility.  He's that good.

Again, his best attribute is how he helps this team in so many ways and makes everyone around him better -- he scores, he rebounds, he gets steals, he gets blocked shots, he makes a decent percent of his free throws, he runs the floor, he doesn't get frazzled, he gets hit in the nuts and still blocks the shot and then calmly tells his coach and the ref resulting in an ejection and 4 free throws that sparked a huge IU run, he gets a steal and dribbles coast-to-coast for a dunk, he catches the ball when thrown to him, he draws double-teams, he passes to the open shooter, and the most refreshing quality of all.....he knows how to put the biscuit in the basket.

Let's take a look at his numbers so far:

* Game 1:  16 pts (5-6 FG; 6-8 FT), 10 rebs, 2 assts, 2 blks, 3 steals

* Game 2:  7 pts (2-3 FG; 3-5 FT), 5 rebs, 0 assts, 1 blk, 6 steals

* Game 3:  14 pts (6-7 FG; 2-3 FT), 9 rebs, 1 asst, 2 blks, 1 steal

That's right, 6 steals in Game 2.  The last Hoosier to have 6 steals in a game was Earl Calloway.  And take a look at that FG shooting, that's 13-16 on the year for 81.3%.  12.3 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.7 bpg, 3.3 spg.  Pretty damn good.

Now, looking at Zeller with a little more critical eye, I think his biggest fault right now is that he has been beat badly on a couple 1-on-1 post moves by the opponent.  Once we play some teams with legitimate big men, I think they will try to go right at him to either try to get him into foul trouble or because they simply like the match-up.  Cody is making up for some of those deficiencies with some blocked shots, a lot of steals, and a ton of deflections.  He will get better defensively, but I do think some teams will really try to go right at him.

Ok, I'm done with my Cody lovefest (for now), how about the team as a whole?  I have to tell ya, after last night's game, I am pretty damn excited.  I was predicting a win for IU last night, but considering it was a road game (last road win was 22 months ago) against an Evansville team that had already beaten Butler, I was predicting a close game throughout and a 4-point victory.  But this game was never close, IU beat the shit out of them from the outset and held a 24-point lead at halftime!  If you did not watch the game live online, you can still watch the replay on espn3.com.  I strongly recommend that you at least watch the first half, it's one of the better halves of basketball of the Tom Crean era.  The Hoosiers built the lead to 30+ in the second half and the scrubs got plenty of PT in the 94-73 win.


From a team perspective, a few things are jumping out at me:

+ Different guys stepping up and leading the team to victory.  Last year, if Watford had 7 points, VJIII had 7 points, and Hulls had 4 points, that would have been a guaranteed loss, no matter who we were playing. Well, that's what happened in the opener against Stony Brook, but thankfully our Super Sophs and Fantastic Freshman came through.  Oladipo was sensational with 16 points, 6 rebounds, and 2 steals.  Sheehey poured in 13 points and added 5 rebounds in just 10 minutes of play (did not play in second half due to the flu).  And we've already talked about Zeller's double-double.  We also got nice contributions from Elston (11 pts), Roth (8 pts), and Etherington (8 pts). 


In Game 2, a 78-53 win over Chattanooga, Oladipo was terrific once again with 21 points and 5 rebounds.  Verdell had a nice night with 16 points and 4 steals, but the turnover bug got him again with 5 turnovers.  The good news is that Verdell has been pretty steady with the ball outside of this game.  However, Game 2 belonged to Jordan Hulls.  He caught fire from the arc with 6-9 from long distance for 18 points.


Then, in the Evansville game, it was Watford that stepped up.  After struggling with his shot in the first two games, Watford really sparked the Hoosiers in this game.  He had 15 points (5-7 FG, 2-3 3PT, 3-3 FT) and 8 rebounds.  Verdell was also outstanding in this one with 17 points that was sparked by a perfect 4-4 from the arc.  Verdell added 7 assists against 3 turnovers, 5 rebounds, and 2 blocks.  Also, Hulls was really good again with 14 points (5-7 FG, 2-3 3PT, 2-2 FT).  In this game, I thought Oladipo and Sheehey were pressing and forcing the issue a bit (both 3-8 FG).  I think both those guys are at their best when they play with high energy, but still let the game come to them and take advantage of those opportunities.


I love that we don't have to rely on any one or two guys to have a great game or we're screwed.  Between Verdell, Watford, Hulls, Oladipo, Sheehey, and Zeller, I think we have 6 guys that can have big nights and lead this team to victory.

Hot Shooting - Through 3 games, IU is shooting 57% from the field, 47% from the arc, and 74% from the line.

Defense - I thought the defense was terrible in the opener against Stony Brook, but greatly improved the last two games.  It's tough to tell against lesser competition, but these guys have been getting after it on defense, getting steals, and a ton of deflections.

NCAA Tourney?  Yes, it's very very early, but I'm feeling like my 16-17 predicted wins may have been selling this team short.  I still think the tournament is a stretch, but I think this team has potential to be on the bubble.  The biggest questions that remain are whether they can win close games and whether they can win on the road in the Big Ten. 

Other Notes:
* Tom Pritchard has just 23 minutes, 2 points, and 2 rebounds this season.
* Elston is off to a nice start with 10-14 from the field and 2-3 from th arc.
* Jordan Hulls only has 2 rebounds in 3 games (81 minutes), Daniel Moore has 7 rebounds in 3 games (30 minutes).
* Assist-to-turnover:  Jones 16:9, Hulls 11:6, Moore 5:1
* Cody Zeller leads the team in rebounds, blocks, and steals
* Oladipo leads the team in scoring (15 ppg).  I didn't even have him on the poll question.
* FG Shooting: Zeller (81%), Elston (71%), Hulls (68%), Oladipo (62%)
* Our "pure shooters" are 13-20 from the arc -- Hulls 8-13, Roth 3-5, Etherington 2-2
* Jordan Hulls has made 43 consecutive free throws.  Problem is that he's only shot 2 this year.  You make 'em at that rate and you have to find ways to get to the line more often.

Next Up: Savannah State on Saturday night at 8pm ET (7pm CT) on BTN. 

Prediction:  IU 81  SSU 60

Go Hoosiers!

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

i'm still skeptical about the D. i love CZ as well. Oladipo is the real deal too. it is encouraging to see him and VJ looking good. Sheehey will be solid too. C-Wat and Hulls are disappointing thus far, but we all know what they can do. i still say 17-18 wins, but i'm excited!

ryun

Anonymous said...

Nice recap. You aren't going to start charging us are you?

Like my work meetings, I didn't really read the charts...but they look nice.

Looking forward to game Sat night.

FYI...I have already taken off the week (April 5-9th) of the 2013 Final Four in Hotlanta! Nick...can we stay with you?

Ben

Anonymous said...

Chris Writes:
Jeff, there can't be anyone on Crean's staff that has a better understanding of their stats than you do. Great site.

I'm really, really, really happy to see IU beating these small schools by double digit margins. This reminds me of the good old days of the Indiana Classic and other butt-kicking clinics. When the candy strips came out of the tunnel, the other team already knew they were going to get schooled without a shred of mercy. Poor saps will be asking for autographs. This is what Indiana basketball is about. Supremecy.

We have bigger tests coming up, but it is a positive sign to see how we are playing in the tune up games.

Oladipo is starting to look like NBA material. He's got work to do, but his physique and athleticism is next level. I think he's a 4 year guy, and as he becomes a smarter player and better defender...look out.

Big Ten play is tough for everyone in the conference. I think a lot of our guys have a chip on their shoulder since they've been getting kicked around for a few seasons. Payback is coming.

Lastly, I do have a soft spot for Pritch and VJ3. Keep in mind, these guys have endured the punishment of being outgunned and undermanned. These guys aren't historical IU starter material. They came in to be the foundation of a rebuilding project. VJ has more to contribute than Pritch, but I hope both of them savor some of this success. They certainly deserve it.

Anonymous said...

Added benefit of IU winning: the return of the blog! You may heart Cody Zeller, but we heart Oladipo in this house!

Jen

jdhoosier said...

Ryun - I agree with the skepticism on the defense, still could be a weakness for this team against better competition, but do think it is an improved defensive team over last year. While Cody has been beat badly a few times, he is adding blocked shots, steals, and deflections. Also, the emergence of Oladipo and Sheehey adds athleticism to the defensive end of the floor.

Ben - your bank account is already being debited $19.99 per month. Colleen bought you access to this site 9 years ago. You've kicked in over $2,000 to this site. Much appreciated and look forward to your contribution on Saturday to cover the pay per view charges.

Chris - I agree on the soft spot for VJIII and Pritch. I think Verdell is poised to have a nice year. He no longer has to be relied on to be one of the only scorers. If he lets things come to him and looks for his teammates, I am hopeful that we could see his turnovers go down and assists go up. I also liked one of his post-game comments where he said something to the effect of "it's nice to just get it to the big fella and let him dunk it".

As for Pritch, I hope he finds a way to contribute this year. Once we start playing bigger teams, we are going to need another big man, especially if Cody gets in foul trouble. Another one of those tip-in dunks would be nice as well.

Jen - I think Victor is flashing your household a sign after he dunks or makes a good play....watch for it.

Anonymous said...

Great post dart! I'm loving the blog back in action brother!!!brotherhood westlake

Anonymous said...

the future is very bright fans. next year we basically bring back everyone and add three 5 star caliber players. just remember this - we started 6-0 last year. people on Hoosier Nation boards are talkin we will finish 2nd in the B10 this year and win 22-25 games. not gonna happen. will be a much more fun and exciting year, but we are one year away!

ryun

Anonymous said...

Chris writes;
I agree with Ryun on the expectation front. We are much improved, but that is compared to some very limited IU squads. Our talent level is mid tier big ten but not very experienced. We will see that against teams like wisconsin who are just-as or more talented and play a suffocating system.
Next year our base talent level will be elite big ten to mix with our experienced players. Now that is the beauty of a recruiting pipeline.